Dayton Flyers
mens
A-10
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.15 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.07 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.08 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.96 | possessions per game | 4.43 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.90 to 1.46 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | 11 | 0.676 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 | Dayton @ Chattanooga | 72–87 | nit |
| 2025-03-19 | 2025 | Florida Atlantic @ Dayton N | 79–86 | nit |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025 | Saint Joseph's @ Dayton N | 73–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Dayton @ VCU | 79–76 | regular |
| 2025-03-05 | 2025 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 67–75 | regular |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Richmond @ Dayton | 64–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | Dayton @ Rhode Island | 85–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Dayton @ Loyola Chicago | 72–76 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Duquesne @ Dayton | 76–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | Dayton @ Fordham | 93–76 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | VCU @ Dayton | 73–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | Davidson @ Dayton | 63–69 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 71–63 | regular |
| 2025-01-29 | 2025 | Dayton @ St. Bonaventure | 53–75 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Saint Joseph's @ Dayton | 72–77 | regular |
| 2025-01-22 | 2025 | Dayton @ Duquesne | 82–62 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Loyola Chicago @ Dayton | 81–83 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | George Mason @ Dayton | 67–59 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Dayton @ Massachusetts | 72–76 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Dayton @ George Washington | 62–82 | regular |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025 | La Salle @ Dayton | 70–84 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Cincinnati @ Dayton N | 66–59 | regular |
| 2024-12-18 | 2025 | UNLV @ Dayton | 65–66 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | Marquette @ Dayton | 63–71 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Lehigh @ Dayton | 62–86 | regular |
| 2024-12-04 | 2025 | Western Michigan @ Dayton | 69–77 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | UConn @ Dayton N | 67–85 | regular |
| 2024-11-27 | 2025 | Iowa State @ Dayton N | 89–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | Dayton @ North Carolina N | 90–92 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | New Mexico State @ Dayton | 53–74 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Capital @ Dayton | 55–76 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Ball State @ Dayton | 69–77 | regular |
| 2024-11-10 | 2025 | Northwestern @ Dayton | 66–71 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | St. Francis (PA) @ Dayton | 57–87 | regular |