Dayton Flyers
mens
A-10
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.15 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.14 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.61 | possessions per game | 4.64 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 37 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 56.34 to 78.87 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 12 | 0.676 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Dayton | 61–55 | nit |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026 | Dayton @ UNC Wilmington | 80–61 | nit |
| 2026-03-19 | 2026 | Dayton @ Bradley | 80–66 | nit |
| 2026-03-15 | 2026 | Dayton @ VCU N | 62–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Dayton @ Saint Louis N | 70–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | St. Bonaventure @ Dayton N | 63–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | VCU @ Dayton | 68–62 | regular |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026 | Dayton @ Richmond | 65–60 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Dayton @ George Washington | 68–66 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 62–77 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Duquesne @ Dayton | 66–78 | regular |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026 | Dayton @ George Mason | 82–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026 | Davidson @ Dayton | 59–70 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Dayton @ VCU | 73–99 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | St. Bonaventure @ Dayton | 70–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 71–102 | regular |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026 | Rhode Island @ Dayton | 81–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Dayton @ Saint Joseph's | 74–81 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | Dayton @ La Salle | 64–67 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Loyola Chicago @ Dayton | 51–78 | regular |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026 | Dayton @ Duquesne | 71–65 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | George Washington @ Dayton | 72–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Dayton @ Loyola Chicago | 70–68 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Fordham @ Dayton | 56–63 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Liberty @ Dayton | 64–61 | regular |
| 2025-12-17 | 2026 | Florida State @ Dayton | 69–97 | regular |
| 2025-12-14 | 2026 | North Florida @ Dayton | 61–84 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Dayton @ Virginia N | 73–86 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | East Tennessee State @ Dayton | 71–88 | regular |
| 2025-11-29 | 2026 | BYU @ Dayton N | 83–79 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Georgetown @ Dayton N | 79–84 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | North Carolina Central @ Dayton | 55–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | Dayton @ Marquette | 77–71 | regular |
| 2025-11-16 | 2026 | Bethune-Cookman @ Dayton | 82–91 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Dayton @ Cincinnati | 62–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | UMBC @ Dayton | 71–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Canisius @ Dayton | 48–88 | regular |