cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

mens MAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.81 possessions per game 4.41

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.85 to 1.43 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251418 0.438

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-13 2025 Bowling Green @ Akron N 67–96 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 64–63 regular
2025-03-05 2025 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 71–58 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Ball State @ Bowling Green 52–61 regular
2025-02-25 2025 Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 65–60 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Bowling Green @ Toledo 69–68 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Kent State @ Bowling Green 91–84 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 63–59 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Ohio @ Bowling Green 86–81 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Coastal Carolina @ Bowling Green 53–67 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 77–84 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 71–90 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Bowling Green @ Kent State 57–75 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Toledo @ Bowling Green 84–71 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) 76–84 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 68–62 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 61–79 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Bowling Green @ Ball State 69–91 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 83–79 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Akron @ Bowling Green 71–68 regular
2024-12-23 2025 Aquinas @ Bowling Green 62–87 non_d1
2024-12-21 2025 St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Bowling Green 93–68 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Bowling Green @ Kansas City 77–85 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Morgan State @ Bowling Green 81–102 regular
2024-11-30 2025 New Mexico State @ Bowling Green N 60–61 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Bowling Green @ Weber State N 70–73 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Bowling Green @ Bellarmine 68–80 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Niagara @ Bowling Green 68–76 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Bowling Green @ Michigan State 72–86 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Taylor @ Bowling Green 43–107 non_d1
2024-11-09 2025 Davidson @ Bowling Green 91–85 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Bowling Green @ Southern Miss 68–77 regular