cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

mens MAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.35 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 57.52 to 78.25 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-12 2026 Bowling Green @ Toledo N 76–77 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 77–69 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Massachusetts @ Bowling Green 62–81 regular
2026-02-25 2026 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 88–79 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) 77–91 regular
2026-02-18 2026 Kent State @ Bowling Green 78–71 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Toledo @ Bowling Green 70–80 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 68–52 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Bowling Green @ Arkansas State 54–91 regular
2026-02-04 2026 Ball State @ Bowling Green 52–77 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 59–62 regular
2026-01-28 2026 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 89–78 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Bowling Green @ Toledo 72–73 regular
2026-01-21 2026 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 72–54 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 79–85 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Akron @ Bowling Green 77–67 regular
2026-01-07 2026 Bowling Green @ Kent State 93–96 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Bowling Green @ Massachusetts 101–100 regular
2025-12-31 2026 Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green 93–83 regular
2025-12-22 2026 Siena Heights @ Bowling Green 66–125 non_d1
2025-12-20 2026 Bowling Green @ Ohio 68–58 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Chicago State @ Bowling Green 55–76 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Aquinas @ Bowling Green 50–131 non_d1
2025-12-06 2026 Utah Valley @ Bowling Green 82–71 regular
2025-12-02 2026 Bowling Green @ Kansas State 82–66 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Bowling Green @ VMI 81–48 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Bucknell @ Bowling Green 66–71 regular
2025-11-20 2026 William & Mary @ Bowling Green 82–74 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Bowling Green @ Davidson 87–91 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Le Moyne @ Bowling Green 60–83 regular
2025-11-07 2026 Bethany (WV) @ Bowling Green 65–120 non_d1
2025-11-04 2026 Texas State @ Bowling Green 48–83 regular