cbb·system

Louisville Cardinals

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb #8 Round of 64 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.22 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.40 possessions per game 4.34

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Louisville AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.89 to 1.47 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025278 0.771

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLouisville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-20 2025 Creighton @ Louisville N 89–75 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-16 2025 Louisville @ Duke N 62–73 conf_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Clemson @ Louisville N 73–76 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 Stanford @ Louisville N 73–75 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Stanford @ Louisville 48–68 regular
2025-03-06 2025 California @ Louisville 68–85 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Pittsburgh @ Louisville 68–79 regular
2025-02-26 2025 Louisville @ Virginia Tech 71–66 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Florida State @ Louisville 81–89 regular
2025-02-17 2025 Louisville @ Notre Dame 75–60 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Louisville @ NC State 91–66 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Miami @ Louisville 78–88 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Louisville @ Boston College 84–58 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Louisville @ Georgia Tech 70–77 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Wake Forest @ Louisville 59–72 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Louisville @ SMU 98–73 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Virginia @ Louisville 67–81 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Louisville @ Syracuse 85–61 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Louisville @ Pittsburgh 82–78 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Clemson @ Louisville 64–74 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Louisville @ Virginia 70–50 regular
2025-01-01 2025 North Carolina @ Louisville 70–83 regular
2024-12-28 2025 Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville 76–78 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Louisville @ Florida State 90–76 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Louisville @ Kentucky 85–93 regular
2024-12-12 2025 UTEP @ Louisville 74–77 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Duke @ Louisville 76–65 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Ole Miss @ Louisville 86–63 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Oklahoma @ Louisville N 69–64 regular
2024-11-28 2025 West Virginia @ Louisville N 70–79 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Louisville @ Indiana N 89–61 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Winthrop @ Louisville 61–76 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Bellarmine @ Louisville 68–100 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Tennessee @ Louisville 77–55 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Morehead State @ Louisville 45–93 regular