cbb·system

Louisville Cardinals

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.77 possessions per game 4.40

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Louisville AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 53.82 to 76.51 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023428 0.125

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLouisville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-07 2023 Louisville @ Boston College N 62–80 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Louisville @ Virginia 60–75 regular
2023-03-01 2023 Virginia Tech @ Louisville 71–54 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Louisville @ Georgia Tech 67–83 regular
2023-02-21 2023 Louisville @ Duke 62–79 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Clemson @ Louisville 73–83 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Virginia @ Louisville 61–58 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Louisville @ Miami 85–93 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Louisville @ Pittsburgh 57–91 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Florida State @ Louisville 81–78 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Georgia Tech @ Louisville 58–68 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Louisville @ Notre Dame 62–76 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Louisville @ Boston College 65–75 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Pittsburgh @ Louisville 75–54 regular
2023-01-14 2023 North Carolina @ Louisville 80–59 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Louisville @ Clemson 70–83 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Wake Forest @ Louisville 80–72 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Syracuse @ Louisville 70–69 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Louisville @ Kentucky 63–86 regular
2022-12-23 2023 Louisville @ NC State 64–76 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Lipscomb @ Louisville 75–67 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Florida A&M @ Louisville 55–61 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Western Kentucky @ Louisville 83–94 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Louisville @ Florida State 53–75 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Miami @ Louisville 80–53 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Maryland @ Louisville 79–54 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Louisville @ Cincinnati N 62–81 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Texas Tech @ Louisville N 70–38 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Louisville @ Arkansas N 54–80 regular
2022-11-15 2023 App State @ Louisville 61–60 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Wright State @ Louisville 73–72 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Bellarmine @ Louisville 67–66 regular