cbb·system

Western Kentucky Lady Toppers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.16
PACE 71.31 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Kentucky AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.52 to 1.18 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014249 0.727

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Kentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-22 2014 Western Kentucky @ Baylor N 74–87 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-16 2014 Western Kentucky @ Arkansas State N 61–60 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Little Rock @ Western Kentucky N 62–66 conf_tournament
2014-03-12 2014 Louisiana @ Western Kentucky N 61–67 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Western Kentucky @ Georgia State 79–63 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Louisiana @ Western Kentucky 71–80 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Western Kentucky @ UT Arlington 94–70 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Western Kentucky @ Texas State 75–45 regular
2014-02-22 2014 UL Monroe @ Western Kentucky 63–92 regular
2014-02-15 2014 South Alabama @ Western Kentucky 55–81 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Troy @ Western Kentucky 66–93 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Western Kentucky @ Little Rock 51–58 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Western Kentucky @ Arkansas State 75–78 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Texas State @ Western Kentucky 72–63 regular
2014-01-30 2014 UT Arlington @ Western Kentucky 46–59 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Western Kentucky @ Louisiana 68–63 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Western Kentucky @ UL Monroe 77–73 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Arkansas State @ Western Kentucky 67–64 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Little Rock @ Western Kentucky 39–65 regular
2014-01-08 2014 Georgia State @ Western Kentucky 59–80 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Western Kentucky @ Troy 86–69 regular
2014-01-01 2014 Western Kentucky @ South Alabama 65–74 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Georgetown @ Western Kentucky N 55–57 regular
2013-12-20 2014 Western Kentucky @ Belmont N 66–46 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Jackson State @ Western Kentucky 48–83 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Western Kentucky @ Ball State 77–85 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Morehead State @ Western Kentucky 52–65 regular
2013-11-28 2014 Louisville @ Western Kentucky 74–61 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Western Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky 74–64 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Western Kentucky @ Southeast Missouri State 90–75 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Murray State @ Western Kentucky 63–86 regular
2013-11-12 2014 Western Kentucky @ Vanderbilt 60–85 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Austin Peay @ Western Kentucky 75–78 regular