cbb·system

Western Kentucky Lady Toppers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.49 possessions per game 4.84

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Kentucky AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.32 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025239 0.719

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Kentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-15 2025 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee N 63–71 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 Florida International @ Western Kentucky N 66–73 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Western Kentucky @ Liberty 70–74 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Western Kentucky @ Florida International 83–48 regular
2025-03-01 2025 New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky 68–85 regular
2025-02-28 2025 UTEP @ Western Kentucky 58–81 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech 78–73 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston 57–45 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 63–73 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky 64–68 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky 57–78 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State 59–64 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Western Kentucky @ UTEP 65–59 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky 49–82 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky 61–69 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 58–63 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Western Kentucky @ Kennesaw State 72–62 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State 51–44 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Florida International @ Western Kentucky 80–79 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Liberty @ Western Kentucky 77–66 regular
2024-12-28 2025 Western Kentucky @ Kentucky 70–88 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Nevada @ Western Kentucky N 70–80 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Western Kentucky @ Oregon State N 58–80 regular
2024-12-12 2025 Kentucky Wesleyan @ Western Kentucky 61–88 non_d1
2024-12-08 2025 Western Kentucky @ Wichita State 59–64 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Miami (OH) @ Western Kentucky 60–79 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Tennessee State @ Western Kentucky 62–92 regular
2024-11-24 2025 North Dakota @ Western Kentucky 69–74 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Western Kentucky @ Abilene Christian 68–64 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Western Kentucky @ Mercer 78–54 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Kentucky State @ Western Kentucky 49–104 non_d1
2024-11-05 2025 Western Kentucky @ Indiana State 71–59 regular