cbb·system

Texas Longhorns

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Play-in (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.21 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.47 possessions per game 4.34

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 57.07 to 76.48 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251916 0.543

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTexas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-20 2025 Xavier @ Texas N 86–80 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Texas @ Tennessee N 72–83 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 Texas @ Texas A&M N 94–89 conf_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Texas @ Vanderbilt N 79–72 conf_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 Oklahoma @ Texas 76–72 regular
2025-03-05 2025 Texas @ Mississippi State 87–82 regular
2025-03-02 2025 Georgia @ Texas 83–67 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Texas @ Arkansas 81–86 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Texas @ South Carolina 69–84 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Kentucky @ Texas 78–82 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Alabama @ Texas 103–80 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Texas @ Vanderbilt 78–86 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Arkansas @ Texas 78–70 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Texas @ LSU 89–58 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Texas @ Ole Miss 69–72 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Texas A&M @ Texas 69–70 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Missouri @ Texas 53–61 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Texas @ Florida 60–84 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Texas @ Oklahoma 77–73 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Tennessee @ Texas 74–70 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Auburn @ Texas 87–82 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Texas @ Texas A&M 60–80 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Northwestern State @ Texas 53–77 regular
2024-12-20 2025 New Orleans @ Texas 62–98 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas 57–121 regular
2024-12-13 2025 New Mexico State @ Texas 67–91 regular
2024-12-08 2025 UConn @ Texas 76–65 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Texas @ NC State 63–59 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Delaware State @ Texas 68–90 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Texas @ Saint Joseph's N 67–58 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Syracuse @ Texas N 66–70 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Mississippi Valley State @ Texas 43–89 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Chicago State @ Texas 58–105 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Houston Christian @ Texas 59–90 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Ohio State @ Texas N 80–72 regular