cbb·system

Furman Paladins

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb #13 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.16 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.03 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Furman AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.76 to 1.33 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023288 0.778

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdFurman auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Furman @ San Diego State N 52–75 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-16 2023 Furman @ Virginia N 68–67 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-07 2023 Chattanooga @ Furman N 79–88 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Western Carolina @ Furman N 80–83 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Mercer @ Furman N 58–73 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Furman @ Samford 93–79 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Mercer @ Furman 67–70 regular
2023-02-19 2023 East Tennessee State @ Furman 79–83 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Furman @ The Citadel 65–69 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Western Carolina @ Furman 59–93 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Furman @ VMI 94–63 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Wofford @ Furman 67–80 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Chattanooga @ Furman 58–79 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Furman @ UNC Greensboro 69–57 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Samford @ Furman 84–91 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Furman @ Wofford 96–82 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Furman @ Chattanooga 77–69 regular
2023-01-14 2023 UNC Greensboro @ Furman 88–80 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Furman @ Mercer 84–66 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Furman @ East Tennessee State 70–56 regular
2023-01-05 2023 The Citadel @ Furman 72–97 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Furman @ Western Carolina 67–79 regular
2022-12-30 2023 VMI @ Furman 62–85 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Anderson (SC) @ Furman 79–106 non_d1
2022-12-17 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Furman N 70–72 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Furman @ NC State 73–92 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Winthrop @ Furman 67–82 regular
2022-12-07 2023 High Point @ Furman 85–82 regular
2022-12-03 2023 South Carolina State @ Furman 76–88 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Furman @ App State 65–61 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Tusculum @ Furman 74–102 non_d1
2022-11-20 2023 Furman @ South Carolina N 79–60 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Furman @ Old Dominion N 77–82 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Furman @ Penn State N 68–73 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Belmont @ Furman 74–89 regular
2022-11-08 2023 North Greenville @ Furman 55–91 non_d1