Texas State Bobcats
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.88 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.06 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.66 | possessions per game | 5.24 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 27 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.60 to 1.25 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | 11 | 0.500 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Texas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Texas State @ Troy N | 90–103 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Georgia Southern @ Texas State N | 61–94 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 68–56 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 85–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Texas State @ UT Arlington | 43–51 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | UT Arlington @ Texas State | 45–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Texas State @ Little Rock | 49–63 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Texas State @ Little Rock | 51–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-03 | 2021 | Little Rock @ Texas State | 44–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 60–66 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 64–66 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 50–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 52–74 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Little Rock @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Little Rock @ Texas State | postponed | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 54–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 53–54 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 67–41 | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 63–71 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Lamar @ Texas State | 53–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Texas State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 56–46 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Texas State @ Oklahoma | 40–52 | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Texas State @ Incarnate Word | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-04 | 2021 | Texas State @ SMU | 74–70 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Texas State @ LSU New Orleans | 64–67 | regular |