cbb·system

Texas State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.39 possessions per game 5.01

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Texas State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.28 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTexas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-16 2018 Texas State @ Rice 60–71 other_postseason
2018-03-11 2018 Texas State @ Little Rock N 53–54 conf_tournament
2018-03-11 2018 Louisiana @ Texas State N 56–62 conf_tournament
2018-03-08 2018 Coastal Carolina @ Texas State N 69–78 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 UT Arlington @ Texas State 58–75 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Georgia Southern @ Texas State 51–60 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Georgia State @ Texas State 40–62 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Texas State @ UL Monroe 81–45 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Texas State @ Louisiana 56–53 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Texas State @ UT Arlington 59–61 regular
2018-02-03 2018 App State @ Texas State 50–92 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Coastal Carolina @ Texas State 69–78 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Texas State @ Georgia State 83–63 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Texas State @ Georgia Southern 81–56 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Louisiana @ Texas State 65–58 regular
2018-01-18 2018 UL Monroe @ Texas State 52–86 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Texas State @ Little Rock 48–63 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Texas State @ Arkansas State 67–55 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Troy @ Texas State 75–83 regular
2018-01-04 2018 South Alabama @ Texas State 63–78 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Texas State @ Coastal Carolina 64–65 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Texas State @ App State 69–54 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Texas State @ Stetson 54–61 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Texas State @ Bethune-Cookman N 56–62 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Texas State @ Sam Houston 73–41 regular
2017-12-06 2018 UTSA @ Texas State 38–91 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Prairie View A&M @ Texas State 57–84 regular
2017-11-29 2018 Houston @ Texas State 72–67 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Fresno State @ Texas State 59–76 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Texas State @ Texas Southern 70–56 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Texas State @ TCU 58–82 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Texas State @ Incarnate Word 74–33 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Texas State @ Texas Tech 87–70 regular