Texas State Bobcats
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.83 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.15 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 67.15 | possessions per game | 4.93 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 28 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.55 to 1.23 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 17 | 0.433 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Texas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | 2025 | Marshall @ Texas State N | 68–62 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025 | Texas State @ South Alabama | 63–56 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | Texas State @ Troy | 66–86 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Southern Miss @ Texas State | 57–62 | regular |
| 2025-02-19 | 2025 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 58–69 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 62–72 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 54–71 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Western Michigan @ Texas State | 59–50 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | Coastal Carolina @ Texas State | 68–60 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 67–64 | regular |
| 2025-01-31 | 2025 | Texas State @ Southern Miss | 46–52 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 74–66 | regular |
| 2025-01-23 | 2025 | Troy @ Texas State | 105–58 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Texas State @ Old Dominion | 65–60 | regular |
| 2025-01-15 | 2025 | Texas State @ Georgia Southern | 62–69 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | South Alabama @ Texas State | 54–65 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 66–50 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | James Madison @ Texas State | 81–60 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Georgia State @ Texas State | 59–51 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Texas State @ Marshall | 60–49 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | UTSA @ Texas State | 70–54 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | Texas State @ Denver | 63–60 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | UNT Dallas @ Texas State | 42–88 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | Texas State @ Tarleton State | 71–59 | regular |
| 2024-11-30 | 2025 | Texas State @ UT Rio Grande Valley | 68–59 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Stephen F. Austin @ Texas State | 79–60 | regular |
| 2024-11-19 | 2025 | Sul Ross State @ Texas State | 65–99 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Texas State @ TCU | 31–90 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas State | 62–57 | regular |
| 2024-11-04 | 2025 | Texas State @ Eastern Michigan | 75–71 | regular |