cbb·system

Utah State Aggies

mens Mountain West canonical name from espn_mbb #10 Round of 64 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.22 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.15 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Utah State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 56.98 to 82.07 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025268 0.765

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUtah State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-21 2025 Utah State @ UCLA N 47–72 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Utah State @ Colorado State N 72–83 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 UNLV @ Utah State N 58–70 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Air Force @ Utah State 47–87 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Utah State @ Colorado State 66–93 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Utah State @ Boise State 65–82 regular
2025-02-23 2025 San Diego State @ Utah State 71–79 regular
2025-02-20 2025 San José State @ Utah State 57–105 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Utah State @ New Mexico 79–82 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Colorado State @ Utah State 85–93 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Utah State @ Fresno State 89–81 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Utah State @ Wyoming 71–67 regular
2025-02-02 2025 New Mexico @ Utah State 82–63 regular
2025-01-30 2025 UNLV @ Utah State 71–76 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Utah State @ Air Force 87–58 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Nevada @ Utah State 69–90 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Utah State @ UNLV 62–65 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Boise State @ Utah State 79–81 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Utah State @ San José State 85–78 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Fresno State @ Utah State 83–89 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Utah State @ Nevada 69–64 regular
2024-12-28 2025 Utah State @ San Diego State 67–66 regular
2024-12-23 2025 Utah State @ Saint Mary's 75–68 regular
2024-12-18 2025 UC San Diego @ Utah State 75–73 regular
2024-12-14 2025 South Florida @ Utah State 67–88 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Utah Tech @ Utah State 62–92 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Wyoming @ Utah State 67–70 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Utah State @ North Texas N 61–57 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Utah State @ St. Bonaventure N 72–67 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Utah State @ Iowa N 77–69 regular
2024-11-19 2025 Montana @ Utah State 83–95 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Westminster (UT) @ Utah State 53–117 non_d1
2024-11-09 2025 Charlotte @ Utah State 74–103 regular
2024-11-07 2025 Alcorn State @ Utah State 46–101 regular