cbb·system

Gonzaga Bulldogs

mens WCC canonical name from espn_mbb #8 Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.27 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.31 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.55 possessions per game 4.24

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Gonzaga AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 60.47 to 80.08 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025269 0.743

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdGonzaga auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-23 2025 Gonzaga @ Houston N 76–81 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-20 2025 Georgia @ Gonzaga N 68–89 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's N 58–51 conf_tournament
2025-03-11 2025 San Francisco @ Gonzaga N 76–85 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Gonzaga @ San Francisco 95–75 regular
2025-02-26 2025 Gonzaga @ Santa Clara 95–76 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga 74–67 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Gonzaga @ Washington State 84–63 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Pepperdine @ Gonzaga 55–107 regular
2025-02-14 2025 San Francisco @ Gonzaga 77–88 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Gonzaga @ Pacific 78–61 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga 53–73 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's 58–62 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Oregon State @ Gonzaga 60–98 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Gonzaga @ Portland 105–62 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Santa Clara @ Gonzaga 103–99 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Gonzaga @ Oregon State 89–97 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Washington State @ Gonzaga 75–88 regular
2025-01-09 2025 San Diego @ Gonzaga 80–93 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Gonzaga @ Loyola Marymount 96–68 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Portland @ Gonzaga 50–81 regular
2024-12-31 2025 Gonzaga @ Pepperdine 89–82 regular
2024-12-28 2025 Gonzaga @ UCLA N 62–65 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Bucknell @ Gonzaga 65–86 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Nicholls @ Gonzaga 72–102 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Gonzaga @ UConn N 71–77 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Kentucky @ Gonzaga N 90–89 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Davidson @ Gonzaga N 65–90 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Gonzaga @ Indiana N 89–73 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Gonzaga @ West Virginia N 78–86 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Long Beach State @ Gonzaga 41–84 regular
2024-11-19 2025 Gonzaga @ San Diego State 80–67 regular
2024-11-16 2025 UMass Lowell @ Gonzaga 54–113 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Arizona State @ Gonzaga 80–88 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Baylor @ Gonzaga 63–101 regular