cbb·system

Chattanooga Mocs

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.54 possessions per game 4.40

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Chattanooga AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 56.40 to 76.69 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252810 0.737

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdChattanooga auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-04-04 2025 Chattanooga @ UC Irvine N 85–84 nit
2025-04-02 2025 Loyola Chicago @ Chattanooga N 80–73 nit
2025-03-25 2025 Chattanooga @ Bradley 67–65 nit
2025-03-22 2025 Dayton @ Chattanooga 72–87 nit
2025-03-19 2025 Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee 109–103 nit
2025-03-09 2025 Furman @ Chattanooga N 80–77 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Mercer @ Chattanooga N 61–76 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Chattanooga @ VMI 91–70 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro 75–63 regular
2025-02-22 2025 The Citadel @ Chattanooga 75–76 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 86–91 regular
2025-02-16 2025 East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga 71–78 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Chattanooga @ Samford 82–68 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Furman @ Chattanooga 72–85 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Chattanooga @ Wofford 79–70 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Mercer @ Chattanooga 84–93 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 84–60 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State 71–63 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Samford @ Chattanooga 73–69 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Chattanooga @ Furman 75–71 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Wofford @ Chattanooga 81–83 regular
2025-01-12 2025 VMI @ Chattanooga 66–91 regular
2025-01-09 2025 UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga 78–75 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Chattanooga @ The Citadel 81–68 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Chattanooga @ Mercer 94–99 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Chattanooga @ Indiana 65–74 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Tennessee Wesleyan @ Chattanooga 52–99 non_d1
2024-12-15 2025 Alabama A&M @ Chattanooga 63–85 regular
2024-12-13 2025 Chattanooga @ Evansville 75–67 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Lipscomb @ Chattanooga 80–62 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Bryant @ Chattanooga 76–84 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Tennessee State @ Chattanooga 78–85 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Johnson University (TN) @ Chattanooga 52–72 non_d1
2024-11-17 2025 Chattanooga @ Southeast Missouri State 87–82 regular
2024-11-15 2025 Morehead State @ Chattanooga 62–76 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Chattanooga @ Austin Peay 61–67 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Chattanooga @ Saint Mary's 74–86 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Chattanooga @ USC 51–77 regular