cbb·system

Fresno State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.94 possessions per game 4.98

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Fresno State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.35 to 1.72 over 61 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFresno State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-21 2019 Pacific @ Fresno State 77–72 other_postseason
2019-03-13 2019 Fresno State @ Boise State N 77–89 conf_tournament
2019-03-11 2019 UNLV @ Fresno State N 55–66 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Fresno State @ San José State 57–65 regular
2019-03-05 2019 San Diego State @ Fresno State 59–58 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Fresno State @ Wyoming 66–64 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Nevada @ Fresno State 57–41 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Fresno State @ Air Force 77–70 regular
2019-02-16 2019 New Mexico @ Fresno State 70–77 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Fresno State @ Boise State 76–83 regular
2019-02-09 2019 UNLV @ Fresno State 55–73 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Fresno State @ Utah State 64–53 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Fresno State @ New Mexico 73–82 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Wyoming @ Fresno State 63–56 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Colorado State @ Fresno State 54–57 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Fresno State @ San Diego State 87–81 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Boise State @ Fresno State 72–60 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Fresno State @ Nevada 79–63 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Utah State @ Fresno State 59–70 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Fresno State @ Colorado State 66–55 regular
2019-01-03 2019 San José State @ Fresno State 48–77 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Fresno Pacific @ Fresno State 51–90 non_d1
2018-12-20 2019 Fresno State @ Arizona State 52–68 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Stanislaus State @ Fresno State 51–86 non_d1
2018-12-13 2019 Santa Clara @ Fresno State 53–80 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Fresno State @ UCLA 80–89 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Fresno State @ Eastern Washington 68–58 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Fresno State @ USC 61–62 regular
2018-11-24 2019 UT Arlington @ Fresno State 61–70 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Milwaukee @ Fresno State 48–65 regular
2018-11-15 2019 Cal Poly @ Fresno State 58–76 regular
2018-11-06 2019 Fresno State @ Northern Arizona 73–86 regular