cbb·system

Fresno State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.72 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fresno State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.67 to 1.27 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020257 0.781

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFresno State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-05 2020 Boise State @ Fresno State N 80–76 conf_tournament
2020-03-04 2020 San José State @ Fresno State N 68–94 conf_tournament
2020-03-02 2020 Nevada @ Fresno State N 71–75 conf_tournament
2020-02-28 2020 Fresno State @ Wyoming 55–64 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Nevada @ Fresno State 58–69 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Fresno State @ Air Force 65–88 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Fresno State @ Utah State 79–61 regular
2020-02-13 2020 San José State @ Fresno State 76–78 regular
2020-02-08 2020 UNLV @ Fresno State 58–72 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Fresno State @ Colorado State 79–61 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Fresno State @ New Mexico 84–78 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Air Force @ Fresno State 52–61 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Fresno State @ Boise State 85–80 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Colorado State @ Fresno State 53–55 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Wyoming @ Fresno State 59–89 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Fresno State @ San Diego State 65–60 regular
2020-01-09 2020 New Mexico @ Fresno State 81–84 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Fresno State @ San José State 85–76 regular
2020-01-02 2020 San Diego State @ Fresno State 54–79 regular
2019-12-28 2020 UC Merced @ Fresno State 26–92 non_d1
2019-12-21 2020 Fresno State @ Santa Clara 66–90 regular
2019-12-12 2020 La Verne @ Fresno State 56–111 non_d1
2019-12-08 2020 Utah State @ Fresno State 64–76 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Fresno State @ UNLV 72–66 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Georgetown @ Fresno State N 69–82 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Yale @ Fresno State N 87–67 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Northern Arizona @ Fresno State 66–83 regular
2019-11-22 2020 BYU @ Fresno State 71–65 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Fresno State @ Portland 64–75 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Fresno State @ Montana 76–63 regular
2019-11-13 2020 UC Davis @ Fresno State 65–73 regular
2019-11-07 2020 Fresno State @ Cal Poly 79–52 regular