cbb·system

Fresno State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.17
PACE 68.17 possessions per game 4.65

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Fresno State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.23 over 37 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFresno State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-24 2015 Fresno State @ Saint Mary's 64–83 other_postseason
2015-03-20 2015 San Francisco @ Fresno State 73–79 other_postseason
2015-03-12 2015 Fresno State @ New Mexico N 53–64 conf_tournament
2015-03-11 2015 Wyoming @ Fresno State N 66–74 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Boise State @ Fresno State 52–55 regular
2015-03-04 2015 Fresno State @ Air Force 61–41 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Fresno State @ New Mexico 60–63 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Wyoming @ Fresno State 50–67 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Utah State @ Fresno State 55–64 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Fresno State @ Colorado State 56–70 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Fresno State @ Boise State 66–75 regular
2015-02-12 2015 UNLV @ Fresno State 73–70 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Fresno State @ San José State 51–56 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Colorado State @ Fresno State 49–53 regular
2015-01-29 2015 San Diego State @ Fresno State 50–57 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Fresno State @ Nevada 62–44 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Fresno State @ Wyoming 66–65 regular
2015-01-15 2015 San José State @ Fresno State 46–58 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Nevada @ Fresno State 43–65 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Fresno State @ Utah State 70–64 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Fresno State @ San Diego State 56–44 regular
2014-12-31 2015 New Mexico @ Fresno State 65–71 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Fresno State @ Oregon 68–59 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Bethesda @ Fresno State 63–81 non_d1
2014-12-14 2015 Cal State Fullerton @ Fresno State 52–57 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Saint Mary's @ Fresno State 56–60 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Fresno State @ George Washington 64–73 regular
2014-12-05 2015 UC Riverside @ Fresno State 61–73 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Fresno State @ Cal State Bakersfield 60–80 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Fresno State @ San Diego 93–88 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Fresno State @ USC 50–68 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Stanislaus State @ Fresno State 36–65 non_d1
2014-11-16 2015 Cal Poly @ Fresno State 56–67 regular