Fresno State Bulldogs
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.07 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.93 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.14 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 70.85 | possessions per game | 4.91 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.81 to 1.40 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 11 | 0.607 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Fresno State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-20 | 2021 | Rice @ Fresno State N | 87–73 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-19 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Missouri N | 78–75 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Wyoming @ Fresno State N | 59–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Fresno State @ New Mexico N | 77–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-08 | 2021 | Nevada @ Fresno State N | 46–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | UNLV @ Fresno State | 75–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | UNLV @ Fresno State | 68–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Fresno State @ San Diego State | 82–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Fresno State @ San Diego State | 77–79 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 54–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 58–76 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Utah State | 93–85 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Utah State | 90–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Fresno State @ New Mexico | 91–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Fresno State @ New Mexico | 80–82 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Boise State @ Fresno State | 64–67 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Boise State @ Fresno State | 57–92 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Nevada @ Fresno State | 61–75 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Nevada @ Fresno State | 70–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-11 | 2021 | Cal State Bakersfield @ Fresno State | 81–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Fresno State @ San José State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-05 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Wyoming | 83–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Wyoming | 63–65 | regular |
| 2020-12-18 | 2021 | Cal State Bakersfield @ Fresno State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-14 | 2021 | Fresno State @ San Francisco | 93–102 | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Saint Mary's @ Fresno State | 71–90 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Colorado State @ Fresno State | 74–78 | regular |
| 2020-12-04 | 2021 | Colorado State @ Fresno State | 89–83 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Lamar N | 99–49 | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | West Virginia @ Fresno State N | 83–62 | regular |