cbb·system

The Citadel Bulldogs

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.15
DE 1.21 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.28 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.65 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

The Citadel AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 53.53 to 74.95 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025525 0.167

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdThe Citadel auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 The Citadel @ VMI N 62–73 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 East Tennessee State @ The Citadel 81–66 regular
2025-02-27 2025 The Citadel @ Furman 42–85 regular
2025-02-22 2025 The Citadel @ Chattanooga 75–76 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Mercer @ The Citadel 62–52 regular
2025-02-15 2025 The Citadel @ Western Carolina 73–76 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Wofford @ The Citadel 74–71 regular
2025-02-08 2025 The Citadel @ VMI 70–82 regular
2025-02-06 2025 UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel 76–61 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Samford @ The Citadel 83–58 regular
2025-01-30 2025 The Citadel @ Mercer 46–80 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Western Carolina @ The Citadel 80–78 regular
2025-01-23 2025 The Citadel @ Wofford 68–79 regular
2025-01-18 2025 VMI @ The Citadel 75–70 regular
2025-01-16 2025 The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro 57–70 regular
2025-01-11 2025 The Citadel @ East Tennessee State 52–70 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Furman @ The Citadel 67–63 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Chattanooga @ The Citadel 81–68 regular
2025-01-02 2025 The Citadel @ Samford 56–86 regular
2024-12-19 2025 The Citadel @ Vanderbilt 53–105 regular
2024-12-17 2025 The Citadel @ Central Arkansas 71–73 regular
2024-12-13 2025 Campbell @ The Citadel 86–58 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Toccoa Falls @ The Citadel 57–94 non_d1
2024-11-27 2025 St. Andrews @ The Citadel 85–100 non_d1
2024-11-20 2025 Charleston @ The Citadel 76–61 regular
2024-11-17 2025 North Carolina A&T @ The Citadel 82–73 regular
2024-11-15 2025 North Greenville @ The Citadel 54–79 non_d1
2024-11-11 2025 Stetson @ The Citadel 52–74 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Erskine @ The Citadel 56–86 non_d1
2024-11-05 2025 The Citadel @ Boston College 60–69 regular