cbb·system

Boise State Broncos

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.17
PACE 66.35 possessions per game 5.09

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Boise State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 54.63 to 86.03 over 24 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBoise State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-23 2014 Boise State @ Stephen F. Austin 59–80 other_postseason
2014-03-21 2014 Boise State @ Grand Canyon 52–51 other_postseason
2014-03-11 2014 Wyoming @ Boise State N 61–56 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Air Force @ Boise State 44–75 regular
2014-03-05 2014 Boise State @ Nevada 70–75 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Wyoming @ Boise State 59–72 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Fresno State @ Boise State 78–72 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Boise State @ UNLV 75–72 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Colorado State @ Boise State 71–51 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Boise State @ New Mexico 86–80 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Utah State @ Boise State 62–83 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Boise State @ San Diego State 65–75 regular
2014-02-01 2014 UNLV @ Boise State 49–79 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Boise State @ Air Force 77–63 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Boise State @ San José State 90–69 regular
2014-01-23 2014 New Mexico @ Boise State 60–74 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Boise State @ Utah State 71–68 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Nevada @ Boise State 64–67 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Boise State @ Wyoming 48–55 regular
2014-01-09 2014 San Diego State @ Boise State 64–73 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Boise State @ Fresno State 63–72 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Cal State Fullerton @ Boise State 64–66 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Boise State @ Eastern Washington 66–81 regular
2013-12-14 2014 San Francisco @ Boise State 76–70 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Boise State @ Portland 71–85 regular
2013-12-06 2014 Utah Valley @ Boise State 60–63 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Idaho State @ Boise State 70–72 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Boise State @ South Dakota 61–74 regular
2013-11-21 2014 College of Idaho @ Boise State 56–92 non_d1
2013-11-15 2014 Boise State @ New Mexico State 68–98 regular
2013-11-12 2014 Lewis Clark State @ Boise State 68–76 non_d1
2013-11-09 2014 Southern Utah @ Boise State 90–86 regular