cbb·system

Boise State Broncos

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.85 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Boise State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 61.60 to 165.13 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020249 0.727

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBoise State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-05 2020 Boise State @ Fresno State N 80–76 conf_tournament
2020-03-04 2020 Wyoming @ Boise State N 71–79 conf_tournament
2020-03-03 2020 Air Force @ Boise State N 50–73 conf_tournament
2020-02-25 2020 UNLV @ Boise State 52–81 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Boise State @ New Mexico 95–76 regular
2020-02-20 2020 San José State @ Boise State 67–85 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Boise State @ San Diego State 69–67 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Boise State @ Air Force 74–69 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Utah State @ Boise State 58–56 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Wyoming @ Boise State 48–67 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Boise State @ Nevada 83–72 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Boise State @ San José State 61–74 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Fresno State @ Boise State 85–80 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Boise State @ Utah State 65–59 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Air Force @ Boise State 61–70 regular
2020-01-11 2020 San Diego State @ Boise State 72–86 regular
2020-01-08 2020 Boise State @ UNLV 65–66 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Nevada @ Boise State 40–54 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Boise State @ Wyoming 68–73 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Pepperdine @ Boise State 74–76 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Western Oregon @ Boise State 32–75 non_d1
2019-12-15 2020 Boise State @ Eastern Washington 63–61 regular
2019-12-12 2020 BYU @ Boise State 55–66 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Boise State @ Colorado State 72–69 regular
2019-12-05 2020 New Mexico @ Boise State 82–83 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Boise State @ TCU 65–77 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Utah Valley @ Boise State 69–77 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Boise State @ Louisville 82–98 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Washington State @ Boise State 80–68 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Boise State @ UAB 83–81 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Missouri State @ Boise State 72–69 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Portland State @ Boise State 57–82 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Lewis Clark State @ Boise State 34–88 non_d1