North Carolina Tar Heels
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.15 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.98 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.16 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 68.38 | possessions per game | 4.26 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.69 to 1.27 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | 13 | 0.606 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-10 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Virginia N | 59–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-09 | 2023 | Boston College @ North Carolina N | 61–85 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | Duke @ North Carolina | 62–57 | regular |
| 2023-02-28 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Florida State | 77–66 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 63–71 | regular |
| 2023-02-23 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Notre Dame | 63–59 | regular |
| 2023-02-19 | 2023 | North Carolina @ NC State | 69–77 | regular |
| 2023-02-14 | 2023 | Miami @ North Carolina | 80–72 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Clemson @ North Carolina | 71–91 | regular |
| 2023-02-08 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Wake Forest | 85–92 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Duke | 57–63 | regular |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina | 65–64 | regular |
| 2023-01-25 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Syracuse | 72–68 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | NC State @ North Carolina | 69–80 | regular |
| 2023-01-18 | 2023 | Boston College @ North Carolina | 64–72 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Louisville | 80–59 | regular |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 58–65 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 64–81 | regular |
| 2023-01-05 | 2023 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina | 79–88 | regular |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | 74–76 | regular |
| 2022-12-22 | 2023 | Michigan @ North Carolina N | 76–80 | regular |
| 2022-12-17 | 2023 | Ohio State @ North Carolina N | 84–89 | regular |
| 2022-12-14 | 2023 | The Citadel @ North Carolina | 67–100 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Georgia Tech @ North Carolina | 59–75 | regular |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 72–80 | regular |
| 2022-12-01 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Indiana | 65–77 | regular |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Alabama N | 101–103 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Iowa State N | 65–70 | regular |
| 2022-11-24 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Portland N | 89–81 | regular |
| 2022-11-20 | 2023 | James Madison @ North Carolina | 64–80 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina | 66–72 | regular |
| 2022-11-12 | 2023 | Charleston @ North Carolina | 86–102 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina | 56–69 | regular |