North Carolina Tar Heels
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#6 Round of 64 (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.25 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.99 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.26 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.98 | possessions per game | 4.57 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.69 to 1.29 over
75 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 9 | 0.727 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | 2026 | VCU @ North Carolina N | 82–78 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | Clemson @ North Carolina N | 80–79 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Duke | 61–76 | regular |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026 | Clemson @ North Carolina | 63–67 | regular |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 82–89 | regular |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 74–77 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Syracuse | 77–64 | regular |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026 | North Carolina @ NC State | 58–82 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina | 65–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Miami | 66–75 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Duke @ North Carolina | 68–71 | regular |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 77–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 91–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 85–80 | regular |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 69–91 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | North Carolina @ California | 78–84 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Stanford | 90–95 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina | 84–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | North Carolina @ SMU | 83–97 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Florida State @ North Carolina | 66–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-23 | 2026 | East Carolina @ North Carolina | 51–99 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Ohio State N | 71–70 | regular |
| 2025-12-17 | 2026 | East Tennessee State @ North Carolina | 58–77 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | South Carolina Upstate @ North Carolina | 62–80 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Georgetown @ North Carolina | 61–81 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Kentucky | 67–64 | regular |
| 2025-11-27 | 2026 | Michigan State @ North Carolina N | 74–58 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | St. Bonaventure @ North Carolina N | 70–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Navy @ North Carolina | 61–73 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | North Carolina Central @ North Carolina | 53–97 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Radford @ North Carolina | 74–89 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Kansas @ North Carolina | 74–87 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Central Arkansas @ North Carolina | 54–94 | regular |