North Carolina Tar Heels
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#8 Round of 64 (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.91 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.21 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.87 | possessions per game | 4.39 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.22 to 0.60 over
55 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | 11 | 0.621 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-19 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ North Carolina N | 85–62 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-13 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Florida State N | 66–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech N | 81–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina N | 59–101 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Duke @ North Carolina | 73–91 | regular |
| 2021-03-02 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Syracuse | 70–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Florida State @ North Carolina | 70–78 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Marquette @ North Carolina | 83–70 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Boston College | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 54–99 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | Northeastern @ North Carolina | 62–82 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 48–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-09 | 2021 | Miami @ North Carolina | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Duke | 91–87 | regular |
| 2021-02-03 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Clemson | 50–63 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | 75–65 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | NC State @ North Carolina | 76–86 | regular |
| 2021-01-21 | 2021 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina | 73–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Florida State | 75–82 | regular |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 75–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Clemson @ North Carolina | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-06 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Miami | 67–65 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 65–66 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 67–72 | regular |
| 2020-12-23 | 2021 | North Carolina @ NC State | 76–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Kentucky N | 75–63 | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | North Carolina Central @ North Carolina | 67–73 | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Iowa | 80–93 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Texas @ North Carolina N | 69–67 | regular |
| 2020-12-01 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Stanford N | 67–63 | regular |
| 2020-12-01 | 2021 | North Carolina @ UNLV N | 78–51 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Charleston @ North Carolina | 60–79 | regular |