North Carolina Tar Heels
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#8 Title game (out) 2022
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.17 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.23 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.02 | possessions per game | 4.32 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 39 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans -0.21 to 0.60 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 29 | 10 | 0.744 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-05 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Kansas N | 69–72 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-04-03 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Duke N | 81–77 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-27 | 2022 | Saint Peter's @ North Carolina N | 49–69 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-26 | 2022 | North Carolina @ UCLA N | 73–66 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-19 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Baylor N | 93–86 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-17 | 2022 | Marquette @ North Carolina N | 63–95 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-12 | 2022 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina N | 72–59 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-11 | 2022 | Virginia @ North Carolina N | 43–63 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-05 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Duke | 94–81 | regular |
| 2022-03-01 | 2022 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 79–88 | regular |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | North Carolina @ NC State | 84–74 | regular |
| 2022-02-22 | 2022 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 63–70 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 65–57 | regular |
| 2022-02-17 | 2022 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina | 76–67 | regular |
| 2022-02-12 | 2022 | Florida State @ North Carolina | 74–94 | regular |
| 2022-02-08 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Clemson | 79–77 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Duke @ North Carolina | 87–67 | regular |
| 2022-02-02 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Louisville | 90–83 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | NC State @ North Carolina | 80–100 | regular |
| 2022-01-27 | 2022 | Boston College @ North Carolina | 47–58 | regular |
| 2022-01-25 | 2022 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 68–78 | regular |
| 2022-01-23 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Wake Forest | 76–98 | regular |
| 2022-01-19 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Miami | 57–85 | regular |
| 2022-01-16 | 2022 | Georgia Tech @ North Carolina | 65–88 | regular |
| 2022-01-08 | 2022 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 58–74 | regular |
| 2022-01-06 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Notre Dame | 73–78 | regular |
| 2022-01-02 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Boston College | 91–65 | regular |
| 2021-12-30 | 2022 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-12-22 | 2022 | App State @ North Carolina | 50–70 | regular |
| 2021-12-18 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Kentucky N | 69–98 | regular |
| 2021-12-15 | 2022 | Furman @ North Carolina | 61–74 | regular |
| 2021-12-12 | 2022 | Elon @ North Carolina | 63–80 | regular |
| 2021-12-05 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 79–62 | regular |
| 2021-12-02 | 2022 | Michigan @ North Carolina | 51–72 | regular |
| 2021-11-24 | 2022 | UNC Asheville @ North Carolina | 53–72 | regular |
| 2021-11-21 | 2022 | Tennessee @ North Carolina N | 89–72 | regular |
| 2021-11-20 | 2022 | Purdue @ North Carolina N | 93–84 | regular |
| 2021-11-17 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Charleston | 94–83 | regular |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Brown @ North Carolina | 87–94 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Loyola Maryland @ North Carolina | 67–83 | regular |