North Carolina Tar Heels
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#1 Sweet 16 (out) 2024
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.22 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.28 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 69.70 | possessions per game | 4.42 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 37 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 0.96 to 1.46 over
75 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29 | 8 | 0.784 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-29 | 2024 | Alabama @ North Carolina N | 89–87 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-23 | 2024 | Michigan State @ North Carolina N | 69–85 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-21 | 2024 | Wagner @ North Carolina N | 62–90 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-17 | 2024 | NC State @ North Carolina N | 84–76 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-15 | 2024 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina N | 65–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-14 | 2024 | Florida State @ North Carolina N | 67–92 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-09 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Duke | 84–79 | regular |
| 2024-03-06 | 2024 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 51–84 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | NC State @ North Carolina | 70–79 | regular |
| 2024-02-27 | 2024 | Miami @ North Carolina | 71–75 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 54–44 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 81–96 | regular |
| 2024-02-14 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Syracuse | 79–86 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Miami | 75–72 | regular |
| 2024-02-07 | 2024 | Clemson @ North Carolina | 80–76 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Duke @ North Carolina | 84–93 | regular |
| 2024-01-31 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 73–74 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Florida State | 75–68 | regular |
| 2024-01-23 | 2024 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina | 64–85 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Boston College | 76–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-18 | 2024 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 70–86 | regular |
| 2024-01-13 | 2024 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 67–103 | regular |
| 2024-01-11 | 2024 | North Carolina @ NC State | 67–54 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Clemson | 65–55 | regular |
| 2024-01-03 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | 70–57 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Charleston Southern @ North Carolina | 60–105 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Oklahoma N | 81–69 | regular |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Kentucky N | 83–87 | regular |
| 2023-12-06 | 2024 | North Carolina @ UConn N | 76–87 | regular |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Florida State @ North Carolina | 70–78 | regular |
| 2023-11-30 | 2024 | Tennessee @ North Carolina | 92–100 | regular |
| 2023-11-24 | 2024 | Arkansas @ North Carolina N | 72–87 | regular |
| 2023-11-23 | 2024 | Villanova @ North Carolina N | 83–81 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | Northern Iowa @ North Carolina N | 69–91 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | UC Riverside @ North Carolina | 52–77 | regular |
| 2023-11-12 | 2024 | Lehigh @ North Carolina | 68–90 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Radford @ North Carolina | 70–86 | regular |