cbb·system

California Golden Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.26 points per possession 0.17
PACE 71.51 possessions per game 4.74

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

California AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.78 to 1.32 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142210 0.688

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCalifornia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-25 2014 California @ Baylor N 56–75 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-22 2014 Fordham @ California N 63–64 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Washington State @ California N 91–83 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Washington @ California 70–65 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Washington State @ California 68–75 regular
2014-02-23 2014 California @ USC 76–67 regular
2014-02-22 2014 California @ UCLA 77–72 regular
2014-02-17 2014 Arizona State @ California 63–74 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Arizona @ California 49–65 regular
2014-02-09 2014 California @ Washington State 87–70 regular
2014-02-08 2014 California @ Washington 70–65 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Stanford @ California 79–64 regular
2014-01-31 2014 California @ Stanford 64–70 regular
2014-01-27 2014 UCLA @ California 53–69 regular
2014-01-25 2014 USC @ California 77–70 regular
2014-01-20 2014 California @ Arizona 79–64 regular
2014-01-17 2014 California @ Arizona State 59–68 regular
2014-01-12 2014 California @ Utah 68–59 regular
2014-01-11 2014 California @ Colorado 57–55 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Oregon @ California 98–101 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Oregon State @ California 63–72 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Lafayette @ California 60–77 regular
2013-12-22 2014 California @ UConn N 47–80 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Cal State Bakersfield @ California 51–70 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Pacific @ California 66–68 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Idaho @ California N 55–59 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Wake Forest @ California N 61–84 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Northwestern @ California 51–65 regular
2013-11-17 2014 California @ Georgetown 67–52 regular
2013-11-16 2014 California @ George Washington 72–75 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Duke @ California 70–58 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Long Beach State @ California 51–70 regular