cbb·system

California Golden Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.51 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

California AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 60.05 to 164.40 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCalifornia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-06 2020 California @ Arizona N 73–86 conf_tournament
2020-03-05 2020 California @ Arizona State N 71–67 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 California @ Arizona 55–54 regular
2020-02-29 2020 California @ Arizona State 54–77 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Oregon State @ California 76–63 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Oregon @ California 93–61 regular
2020-02-16 2020 California @ Utah 88–74 regular
2020-02-15 2020 California @ Colorado 57–64 regular
2020-02-09 2020 UCLA @ California 74–70 regular
2020-02-08 2020 USC @ California 75–67 regular
2020-02-02 2020 California @ Washington 81–74 regular
2020-02-01 2020 California @ Washington State 66–92 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Colorado @ California 62–50 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Utah @ California 71–62 regular
2020-01-19 2020 California @ Oregon 55–105 regular
2020-01-18 2020 California @ Oregon State 44–81 regular
2020-01-13 2020 Stanford @ California 79–65 regular
2020-01-11 2020 California @ Stanford 40–73 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Washington State @ California 96–75 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Washington @ California 67–64 regular
2019-12-30 2020 Grand Canyon @ California 53–72 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Kentucky @ California 63–61 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Santa Clara @ California 65–69 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Boston University @ California 62–73 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Long Beach State @ California 45–68 regular
2019-11-29 2020 North Carolina Central @ California 69–90 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Arkansas @ California 80–84 regular
2019-11-22 2020 California @ San Diego State 74–48 regular
2019-11-18 2020 UC Riverside @ California 61–84 regular
2019-11-10 2020 California @ UConn 61–72 regular
2019-11-09 2020 California @ Harvard 53–56 regular