cbb·system

California Golden Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.17 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.08 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

California AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 9.26 to 143.76 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCalifornia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-02 2023 California @ Washington State N 49–61 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 California @ Colorado 69–95 regular
2023-02-24 2023 California @ Utah 76–101 regular
2023-02-19 2023 USC @ California 78–81 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UCLA @ California 67–54 regular
2023-02-12 2023 California @ Arizona 57–80 regular
2023-02-11 2023 California @ Arizona State 72–61 regular
2023-02-05 2023 California @ Washington State 60–70 regular
2023-02-04 2023 California @ Washington 54–70 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Oregon State @ California 62–64 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Oregon @ California 78–73 regular
2023-01-23 2023 Utah @ California 87–62 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Colorado @ California 73–66 regular
2023-01-15 2023 California @ UCLA 70–87 regular
2023-01-14 2023 California @ USC 43–63 regular
2023-01-09 2023 Stanford @ California 60–56 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Arizona State @ California 61–74 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Arizona @ California 63–56 regular
2022-12-23 2023 California @ Stanford 69–90 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Florida A&M @ California 58–88 regular
2022-12-17 2023 UC San Diego @ California 61–75 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Pacific @ California 66–83 regular
2022-12-04 2023 SMU @ California 70–56 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ California 51–84 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Montana @ California N 44–65 regular
2022-11-26 2023 California @ Loyola Marymount 68–49 regular
2022-11-20 2023 California @ Saint Mary's 69–66 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Idaho @ California 71–84 regular
2022-11-12 2023 California @ Notre Dame N 79–90 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Cal State Northridge @ California 56–86 regular