cbb·system

Northern Illinois Huskies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.17
PACE 73.79 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Illinois AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.24 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181515 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-06 2018 Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 84–77 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 85–66 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 79–89 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 84–75 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 77–91 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 72–50 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 68–73 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Northern Illinois @ Akron 84–61 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Northern Illinois @ Kent State 72–62 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois 77–62 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 72–81 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Northern Illinois @ Ohio 75–77 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 83–76 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 81–78 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 60–63 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 83–88 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 84–86 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Kent State @ Northern Illinois 79–81 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) 65–67 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Northern Illinois @ UAlbany N 91–97 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Sacramento State @ Northern Illinois N 75–84 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Northern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville 86–75 regular
2017-12-06 2018 Loyola Chicago @ Northern Illinois 71–80 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Bradley @ Northern Illinois 52–76 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Lamar @ Northern Illinois N 90–80 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Northern Illinois @ UTSA 69–55 regular
2017-11-21 2018 Northern Illinois @ Chicago State 80–59 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Western Illinois @ Northern Illinois 94–96 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Northern Illinois @ Iowa 80–105 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois 93–64 regular