cbb·system

Northern Illinois Huskies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.19
PACE 74.42 possessions per game 4.26

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Illinois AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.58 to 1.18 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-09 2020 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 69–76 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 86–79 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 62–70 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 50–63 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 59–65 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 70–66 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 89–97 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 68–65 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois 84–86 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 92–87 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 60–66 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 63–64 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 55–62 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Ohio @ Northern Illinois 85–79 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Northern Illinois @ Akron 70–65 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Kent State @ Northern Illinois 79–71 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 63–51 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) 64–66 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Northern Illinois @ Ohio 67–87 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Drake @ Northern Illinois 73–49 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Southern Illinois @ Northern Illinois 80–61 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Eastern Illinois @ Northern Illinois 48–61 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Northern Illinois @ Milwaukee 65–78 regular
2019-11-30 2020 South Dakota @ Northern Illinois N 91–48 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Northern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech N 82–74 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Northern Illinois @ Purdue 63–68 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Northern Illinois @ Illinois State 66–69 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Northern Illinois @ Colorado State 80–75 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Northern Illinois @ North Dakota State 74–68 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Harvard @ Northern Illinois 59–53 regular