cbb·system

Northern Illinois Huskies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.17
PACE 64.65 possessions per game 5.07

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Illinois AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 52.60 to 158.35 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-12 2014 Northern Illinois @ Ball State N 47–61 conf_tournament
2014-03-10 2014 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 81–76 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 51–59 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 57–67 regular
2014-03-02 2014 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 45–54 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 59–68 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 85–77 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Northern Illinois @ Akron 75–89 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Northern Illinois @ Buffalo 57–66 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 63–50 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Akron @ Northern Illinois 71–67 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 43–56 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Kent State @ Northern Illinois 43–65 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 44–57 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 63–52 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) 69–66 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 60–65 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 54–77 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 71–73 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Ohio @ Northern Illinois 51–74 regular
2013-12-31 2014 UIC @ Northern Illinois 66–54 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Northern Iowa @ Northern Illinois 66–64 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Northern Illinois @ South Dakota State 50–67 regular
2013-12-06 2014 Northern Illinois @ Illinois State 57–52 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Lamar @ Northern Illinois N 52–79 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Northern Illinois @ New Mexico State 73–77 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Bradley @ Northern Illinois 60–63 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Northern Illinois @ Wisconsin 51–71 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Mississippi Valley State @ Northern Illinois 60–79 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Northern Illinois @ Green Bay 44–78 regular