cbb·system

Northern Illinois Huskies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.82 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.68 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 62.31 possessions per game 4.98

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Illinois AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 49.91 to 74.37 over 79 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151217 0.414

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-09 2015 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 49–44 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 45–50 regular
2015-03-04 2015 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 64–68 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 52–60 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 62–69 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 51–50 regular
2015-02-18 2015 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 57–73 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Northern Illinois @ Kent State 52–54 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 60–51 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Akron @ Northern Illinois 56–62 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois 49–60 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 65–62 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 50–67 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Northern Illinois @ Buffalo 43–47 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Northern Illinois @ Ohio 40–67 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Kent State @ Northern Illinois 49–66 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 59–65 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 43–56 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 48–54 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Northern Illinois @ Bradley 67–54 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 42–51 regular
2014-12-18 2015 SIU Edwardsville @ Northern Illinois 47–69 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Northern Illinois @ Missouri 44–47 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Northern Illinois @ Delaware State N 79–59 regular
2014-11-29 2015 South Dakota State @ Northern Illinois N 55–42 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois 46–55 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Valparaiso @ Northern Illinois 65–50 regular
2014-11-17 2015 Northern Illinois @ UIC 47–61 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Illinois State @ Northern Illinois 51–55 regular