cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.17 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.20 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.13 possessions per game 4.36

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.91 to 1.41 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
2024823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-07 2024 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 52–71 regular
2024-03-05 2024 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 73–56 regular
2024-03-02 2024 New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 87–80 regular
2024-02-27 2024 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 82–92 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 71–87 regular
2024-02-20 2024 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word 76–72 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 81–61 regular
2024-02-13 2024 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 67–76 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 83–86 regular
2024-02-06 2024 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 64–76 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Incarnate Word @ New Orleans 82–80 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M 66–71 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 75–79 regular
2024-01-23 2024 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 78–74 regular
2024-01-20 2024 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 80–66 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 71–97 regular
2024-01-09 2024 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 59–75 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 75–65 regular
2024-01-03 2024 Our Lady Of The Lake @ Incarnate Word 74–83 non_d1
2023-12-31 2024 Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley 74–77 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Incarnate Word @ UIC 67–66 regular
2023-12-13 2024 Incarnate Word @ Rice 57–80 regular
2023-12-09 2024 Northern Arizona @ Incarnate Word 76–75 regular
2023-12-02 2024 Incarnate Word @ Bethune-Cookman 82–96 regular
2023-11-26 2024 Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word N 67–65 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Incarnate Word @ UTSA 80–90 regular
2023-11-23 2024 Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word 66–67 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Incarnate Word @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 100–81 regular
2023-11-14 2024 Schreiner @ Incarnate Word 63–104 non_d1
2023-11-11 2024 Incarnate Word @ Tulsa 71–85 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Incarnate Word @ Texas 56–88 regular