cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.09 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.39 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.41 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-03 2026 Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 76–68 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 60–72 regular
2026-02-24 2026 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 49–54 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M 82–73 regular
2026-02-17 2026 New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 78–64 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 91–83 regular
2026-02-10 2026 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 62–74 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 64–81 regular
2026-02-03 2026 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 71–69 regular
2026-01-31 2026 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word 106–93 regular
2026-01-28 2026 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 75–81 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 79–71 regular
2026-01-19 2026 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word 80–58 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 74–76 regular
2026-01-13 2026 Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin 46–56 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 51–63 regular
2026-01-06 2026 Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley 67–80 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 56–73 regular
2025-12-30 2026 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 70–79 regular
2025-12-21 2026 Northern Arizona @ Incarnate Word 66–90 regular
2025-12-16 2026 Incarnate Word @ TCU 65–69 regular
2025-12-09 2026 Incarnate Word @ New Orleans 83–84 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 67–74 regular
2025-12-02 2026 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 67–71 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Texas Lutheran @ Incarnate Word 55–117 non_d1
2025-11-23 2026 Incarnate Word @ High Point N 80–91 regular
2025-11-20 2026 Southern Indiana @ Incarnate Word N 81–87 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Incarnate Word @ Indiana 61–69 regular
2025-11-11 2026 Southwestern Christian @ Incarnate Word 70–109 non_d1
2025-11-07 2026 Jarvis Christian @ Incarnate Word 60–104 non_d1
2025-11-04 2026 Incarnate Word @ Colorado State 64–98 regular