cbb·system

Tennessee State Lady Tigers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.78 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.30 points per possession 0.19
PACE 72.56 possessions per game 4.36

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Tennessee State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.37 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020424 0.143

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTennessee State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-02-29 2020 Belmont @ Tennessee State 84–51 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Jacksonville State @ Tennessee State 63–45 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Tennessee State @ Morehead State 60–69 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Tennessee State @ Eastern Kentucky 67–64 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State 81–69 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Tennessee State @ Belmont 58–70 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Murray State @ Tennessee State 81–96 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State 87–55 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech 47–88 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State 48–70 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Tennessee State @ Murray State 62–100 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Tennessee State @ Austin Peay 58–76 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee State 61–55 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Morehead State @ Tennessee State 84–47 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State 54–83 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Tennessee State @ UT Martin 71–88 regular
2020-01-04 2020 SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State 76–63 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State 73–52 regular
2019-12-30 2020 Columbia @ Tennessee State 75–65 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Fisk @ Tennessee State 50–91 non_d1
2019-12-13 2020 Tennessee State @ Arizona 42–77 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Lipscomb @ Tennessee State 74–64 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Tennessee State @ South Alabama 48–70 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Vanderbilt @ Tennessee State 106–55 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Alcorn State @ Tennessee State 62–57 regular
2019-11-18 2020 North Alabama @ Tennessee State 88–63 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Tennessee State @ Tennessee 43–73 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Wilberforce @ Tennessee State 65–83 non_d1