cbb·system

Tennessee State Lady Tigers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.20 points per possession 0.17
PACE 74.62 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Tennessee State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 62.69 to 159.06 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTennessee State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-06 2014 Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee State N 79–75 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Tennessee State @ Eastern Kentucky 76–64 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Tennessee State @ Morehead State 71–66 regular
2014-02-23 2014 SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State 74–66 regular
2014-02-18 2014 Tennessee State @ UT Martin 65–104 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Tennessee State @ Belmont 48–57 regular
2014-02-11 2014 Murray State @ Tennessee State 65–72 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State 61–96 regular
2014-02-04 2014 Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech 75–79 regular
2014-01-27 2014 Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee State 63–78 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Morehead State @ Tennessee State 70–87 regular
2014-01-20 2014 Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State 76–84 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Belmont @ Tennessee State 51–64 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State 77–68 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State 75–67 regular
2014-01-07 2014 Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State postponed regular
2014-01-04 2014 Jacksonville State @ Tennessee State 76–78 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois 70–80 regular
2013-12-21 2014 La Salle @ Tennessee State N 66–58 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Tennessee State @ Florida 56–86 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Tennessee State @ Tennessee 43–94 regular
2013-12-15 2014 UT Southern @ Tennessee State 61–92 non_d1
2013-12-07 2014 Tennessee State @ North Florida 67–51 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Tennessee State @ Jacksonville 66–87 regular
2013-11-27 2014 Lipscomb @ Tennessee State 81–78 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Tennessee State @ Ole Miss 61–77 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Tennessee State 76–74 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Tennessee State @ Florida A&M 49–66 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Tennessee State @ Troy 77–71 regular
2013-11-12 2014 Tennessee State @ Kennesaw State 68–70 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Tennessee State @ Kansas State 53–85 regular