cbb·system

Arizona Wildcats

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #4 Sweet 16 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.27 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.32 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.54 possessions per game 4.25

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.93 to 1.52 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252413 0.649

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-28 2025 Arizona @ Duke N 93–100 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-24 2025 Oregon @ Arizona N 83–87 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 Akron @ Arizona N 65–93 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Arizona @ Houston N 64–72 conf_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Arizona @ Texas Tech N 86–80 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Kansas @ Arizona N 77–88 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Arizona @ Kansas 76–83 regular
2025-03-05 2025 Arizona State @ Arizona 100–113 regular
2025-03-02 2025 Arizona @ Iowa State 67–84 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Utah @ Arizona 66–83 regular
2025-02-23 2025 BYU @ Arizona 96–95 regular
2025-02-18 2025 Arizona @ Baylor 74–67 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Houston @ Arizona 62–58 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Arizona @ Kansas State 70–73 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Texas Tech @ Arizona 73–82 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Arizona @ BYU 85–74 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Arizona @ Arizona State 81–72 regular
2025-01-28 2025 Iowa State @ Arizona 75–86 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Colorado @ Arizona 63–78 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Arizona @ Oklahoma State 92–78 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Arizona @ Texas Tech 54–70 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Baylor @ Arizona 70–81 regular
2025-01-12 2025 UCF @ Arizona 80–88 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Arizona @ West Virginia 75–56 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Arizona @ Cincinnati 72–67 regular
2024-12-31 2025 TCU @ Arizona 81–90 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Central Michigan @ Arizona 41–94 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Samford @ Arizona 64–96 regular
2024-12-14 2025 UCLA @ Arizona N 57–54 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Southern Utah @ Arizona 66–102 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Arizona @ West Virginia N 76–83 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Arizona @ Oklahoma N 77–82 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Arizona @ Davidson N 104–71 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Duke @ Arizona 69–55 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Arizona @ Wisconsin 88–103 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Old Dominion @ Arizona 44–102 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Canisius @ Arizona 64–93 regular