cbb·system

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.94 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 22 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Stephen F. Austin AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.54 to 1.34 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021165 0.762

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdStephen F. Austin auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-06 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Sam Houston 64–59 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin 63–61 regular
2021-03-01 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Central Arkansas 79–66 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar 83–88 regular
2021-02-25 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State 83–57 regular
2021-02-20 2021 Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin canceled regular
2021-02-15 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ New Orleans 89–79 regular
2021-02-11 2021 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin 68–80 regular
2021-02-07 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ New Orleans scheduled regular
2021-02-04 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 84–75 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin 68–78 regular
2021-01-28 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian 62–82 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin 72–102 regular
2021-01-21 2021 Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin 74–86 regular
2021-01-17 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 83–65 regular
2021-01-14 2021 Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin 69–95 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Midwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin 71–87 non_d1
2021-01-02 2021 New Orleans @ Stephen F. Austin 67–78 regular
2020-12-21 2021 SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin canceled regular
2020-12-19 2021 LSU Shreveport @ Stephen F. Austin canceled non_d1
2020-12-17 2021 Arkansas State @ Stephen F. Austin canceled regular
2020-12-12 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ UL Monroe 55–66 regular
2020-12-10 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Baylor 52–83 regular
2020-12-06 2021 LSU Alexandria @ Stephen F. Austin 79–97 non_d1
2020-12-05 2021 McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin 76–86 regular
2020-12-02 2021 LeTourneau @ Stephen F. Austin 57–102 non_d1