cbb·system

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.77 possessions per game 4.25

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Stephen F. Austin AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.49 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdStephen F. Austin auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin N 80–76 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Utah Valley 69–113 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin 64–59 regular
2023-02-27 2023 California Baptist @ Stephen F. Austin 58–80 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian 91–87 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UT Arlington @ Stephen F. Austin 75–70 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Tarleton State @ Stephen F. Austin 60–65 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley 82–72 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Grand Canyon 83–86 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ New Mexico State 67–73 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Seattle U @ Stephen F. Austin 65–79 regular
2023-01-26 2023 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin 66–83 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Sam Houston 71–76 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Utah 58–67 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Utah Tech 85–72 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Grand Canyon @ Stephen F. Austin 68–73 regular
2023-01-05 2023 New Mexico State @ Stephen F. Austin 60–69 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington 66–62 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin 68–75 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Jackson State @ Stephen F. Austin 69–80 regular
2022-12-20 2023 North American @ Stephen F. Austin 51–83 non_d1
2022-12-17 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Furman N 70–72 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Louisiana Tech 80–79 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Paul Quinn @ Stephen F. Austin 40–103 non_d1
2022-12-02 2023 Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin 102–96 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ UNC Greensboro N 75–58 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Middle Tennessee N 63–75 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Quinnipiac N 44–58 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ South Dakota State 93–82 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Alcorn State @ Stephen F. Austin 69–60 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Gardner-Webb @ Stephen F. Austin 71–86 regular
2022-11-08 2023 LeTourneau @ Stephen F. Austin 40–93 non_d1