cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.77 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.52 possessions per game 4.92

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.50 to 1.65 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-28 2019 Butler @ Cincinnati 65–72 other_postseason
2019-03-23 2019 Kent State @ Butler 52–70 other_postseason
2019-03-21 2019 Northeastern @ Butler 72–89 other_postseason
2019-03-11 2019 Creighton @ Butler N 60–51 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Villanova @ Butler 60–62 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Georgetown @ Butler 72–42 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Butler @ DePaul 62–76 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Butler @ Marquette 61–57 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Providence @ Butler 66–63 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Creighton @ Butler 46–66 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Xavier @ Butler 38–63 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Butler @ Seton Hall 62–83 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Butler @ St. John's 73–68 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Marquette @ Butler 87–58 regular
2019-01-26 2019 DePaul @ Butler 86–78 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Butler @ Creighton 75–43 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Butler @ Providence 68–74 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Butler @ Xavier 63–41 regular
2019-01-06 2019 St. John's @ Butler 45–66 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Seton Hall @ Butler 59–62 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Butler @ Georgetown 59–50 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Butler @ Villanova 63–55 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Eastern Michigan @ Butler N 63–73 regular
2018-12-20 2019 Butler @ Ohio State N 66–53 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Indiana State @ Butler 49–72 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Butler @ Akron 63–47 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Butler @ Indiana 46–66 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Ball State @ Butler 47–64 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Illinois State @ Butler 56–58 regular
2018-11-20 2019 UMass Lowell @ Butler 36–89 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Western Illinois @ Butler 51–92 regular
2018-11-14 2019 Murray State @ Butler 65–86 regular
2018-11-09 2019 Eastern Illinois @ Butler 37–72 regular