cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.66 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.14 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201911 0.633

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 Butler @ Seton Hall N 57–83 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Butler @ Seton Hall 53–66 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Butler @ St. John's 80–85 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Providence @ Butler 42–51 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Creighton @ Butler 61–76 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Butler @ Marquette 54–76 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Butler @ DePaul 60–89 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Villanova @ Butler 61–63 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Georgetown @ Butler 42–60 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Xavier @ Butler 61–63 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Butler @ Creighton 73–67 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Butler @ Providence 50–47 regular
2020-01-19 2020 DePaul @ Butler 80–65 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Marquette @ Butler 55–61 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Butler @ Georgetown 47–46 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Butler @ Villanova 58–41 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Butler @ Xavier 78–70 regular
2019-12-31 2020 St. John's @ Butler 67–42 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Seton Hall @ Butler 67–62 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Butler 58–85 regular
2019-12-15 2020 High Point @ Butler 52–74 regular
2019-12-12 2020 Indiana @ Butler 64–53 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Akron @ Butler 55–76 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Ohio @ Butler N 55–60 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Butler @ Georgia N 36–69 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Butler @ Ball State 70–74 regular
2019-11-21 2020 IU Indianapolis @ Butler 61–64 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Eastern Kentucky @ Butler 41–73 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Detroit Mercy @ Butler 60–82 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Wagner @ Butler 58–74 regular