cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.16
PACE 69.11 possessions per game 4.87

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.78 to 1.35 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141516 0.484

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-21 2014 Butler @ South Dakota State 61–78 other_postseason
2014-03-09 2014 Butler @ Creighton N 52–61 conf_tournament
2014-03-05 2014 Butler @ Creighton 67–59 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Seton Hall @ Butler 72–74 regular
2014-02-26 2014 Xavier @ Butler 52–57 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Butler @ DePaul 64–97 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Georgetown @ Butler 59–67 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Butler @ Villanova 46–61 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Butler @ Marquette 74–70 regular
2014-02-06 2014 St. John's @ Butler 58–55 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Butler @ Xavier 68–54 regular
2014-01-29 2014 Providence @ Butler 69–72 regular
2014-01-25 2014 DePaul @ Butler 85–64 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Creighton @ Butler 52–58 regular
2014-01-15 2014 Butler @ St. John's 55–58 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Butler @ Georgetown 79–85 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Villanova @ Butler 70–48 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Butler @ Seton Hall 75–69 regular
2014-01-01 2014 Butler @ Providence 68–65 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Marquette @ Butler 61–59 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Butler @ Indiana State 56–62 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Northern Kentucky @ Butler 47–53 regular
2013-12-14 2014 Butler @ Valparaiso 65–50 regular
2013-12-07 2014 UIC @ Butler 62–57 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Eastern Washington @ Butler N 51–74 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Butler @ Utah N 66–54 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Butler @ Indiana 69–84 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Bowling Green @ Butler 61–57 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Saint Mary's @ Butler 90–86 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Butler @ Eastern Michigan 76–81 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Cleveland State @ Butler 69–85 regular