cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.08 possessions per game 4.97

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.25 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181517 0.469

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-04 2018 Butler @ Marquette N 61–73 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Providence @ Butler N 67–73 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Butler @ Xavier 54–57 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Butler @ Creighton 55–64 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Butler @ Providence 69–48 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Marquette @ Butler 78–59 regular
2018-02-10 2018 DePaul @ Butler 86–68 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Butler @ Seton Hall 64–75 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Butler @ St. John's 38–76 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Villanova @ Butler 69–67 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Georgetown @ Butler 63–52 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Providence @ Butler 57–68 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Creighton @ Butler 53–59 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Butler @ DePaul 65–87 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Butler @ Marquette 67–69 regular
2018-01-11 2018 St. John's @ Butler 73–55 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Seton Hall @ Butler 48–66 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Butler @ Georgetown 66–57 regular
2018-01-03 2018 Butler @ Villanova 76–53 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Xavier @ Butler 69–62 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Butler @ Indiana State 60–51 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Loyola Chicago @ Butler 52–64 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Wisconsin @ Butler 62–69 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Butler @ Illinois State 56–45 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Butler @ Ball State 75–87 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Butler @ Drexel N 62–76 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Virginia Tech @ Butler N 77–79 regular
2017-11-23 2018 Butler @ West Virginia N 68–75 regular
2017-11-21 2018 Butler @ South Florida 55–71 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Lipscomb @ Butler 58–70 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Butler @ Murray State 88–59 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Austin Peay @ Butler 54–75 regular