cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.09 possessions per game 4.78

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 53.89 to 135.68 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 Georgetown @ Butler N 53–46 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Butler @ Creighton 46–74 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Seton Hall @ Butler 64–76 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Xavier @ Butler 43–60 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Georgetown @ Butler 56–58 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Butler @ Providence 63–62 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Butler @ DePaul 62–87 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Villanova @ Butler 78–58 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Marquette @ Butler 65–63 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Butler @ St. John's 65–67 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Butler @ UConn 39–79 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Providence @ Butler 74–66 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Creighton @ Butler 75–56 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Butler @ Georgetown 72–48 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Butler @ Villanova 58–68 regular
2023-01-04 2023 UConn @ Butler 80–47 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Butler @ Seton Hall 45–79 regular
2022-12-28 2023 Butler @ Xavier 79–65 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Butler @ Indiana 50–67 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Butler @ Marquette 46–67 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Illinois @ Butler 65–63 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Southern Indiana @ Butler 48–58 regular
2022-12-04 2023 DePaul @ Butler 78–72 regular
2022-12-03 2023 St. John's @ Butler 65–57 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Binghamton @ Butler N 51–78 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Sacred Heart @ Butler N 39–64 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Tennessee State @ Butler 55–72 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Butler @ Ball State 68–84 regular
2022-11-13 2023 IU Indianapolis @ Butler 67–61 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Chicago State @ Butler 57–84 regular