cbb·system

Southern Jaguars

mens SWAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.19 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.50 possessions per game 4.40

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.74 to 1.34 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261717 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSouthern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-14 2026 Prairie View A&M @ Southern N 72–66 conf_tournament
2026-03-14 2026 Southern @ Florida A&M N 73–70 conf_tournament
2026-03-13 2026 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern N 81–84 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Southern @ Alabama A&M 88–85 regular
2026-03-04 2026 Southern @ Alabama State 71–64 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Bethune-Cookman @ Southern 82–79 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Florida A&M @ Southern 82–71 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Grambling @ Southern 73–87 regular
2026-02-17 2026 Southern @ Texas Southern 73–74 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Southern @ Prairie View A&M 87–82 regular
2026-02-10 2026 Alabama State @ Southern 68–69 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Alabama A&M @ Southern 68–81 regular
2026-02-03 2026 Southern @ Jackson State 96–91 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Southern @ Alcorn State 73–78 regular
2026-01-28 2026 Mississippi Valley State @ Southern 69–80 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern 75–74 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Southern @ Grambling 71–53 regular
2026-01-13 2026 Southern @ Bethune-Cookman 77–73 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Southern @ Florida A&M 59–67 regular
2026-01-06 2026 Prairie View A&M @ Southern 89–85 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Texas Southern @ Southern 73–84 regular
2025-12-29 2026 Southern @ Illinois 55–90 regular
2025-12-21 2026 Southern @ Baylor 67–111 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Southern @ California Baptist 67–75 regular
2025-12-11 2026 Southern @ Texas State 83–86 regular
2025-12-09 2026 Southern @ Texas 69–95 regular
2025-12-01 2026 Louisiana Christian @ Southern 48–101 non_d1
2025-11-29 2026 Southern @ Northwestern State 75–73 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Southern @ San José State 66–80 regular
2025-11-19 2026 Southern @ Washington 93–99 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Champion Christian @ Southern 64–129 non_d1
2025-11-10 2026 Ecclesia @ Southern 51–115 non_d1
2025-11-06 2026 Southern @ Marquette 82–100 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Southern @ Arkansas 77–109 regular