Southern Jaguars
mens
SWAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.04 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 67.62 | possessions per game | 4.34 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 57.98 to 77.98 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | 12 | 0.625 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Southern | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-12 | 2025 | Grambling @ Southern N | 65–62 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Alabama A&M @ Southern | 57–71 | regular |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | Alabama State @ Southern | 66–65 | regular |
| 2025-03-04 | 2025 | Southern @ Florida A&M | 73–70 | regular |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Southern @ Bethune-Cookman | 69–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Southern @ Grambling | 71–64 | regular |
| 2025-02-18 | 2025 | Texas Southern @ Southern | 57–66 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Prairie View A&M @ Southern | 60–72 | regular |
| 2025-02-11 | 2025 | Southern @ Alabama State | 81–82 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Southern @ Alabama A&M | 81–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-04 | 2025 | Jackson State @ Southern | 89–91 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Alcorn State @ Southern | 69–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-28 | 2025 | Southern @ Mississippi Valley State | 63–42 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 83–67 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Grambling @ Southern | 60–67 | regular |
| 2025-01-14 | 2025 | Bethune-Cookman @ Southern | 53–69 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Florida A&M @ Southern | 57–91 | regular |
| 2025-01-07 | 2025 | Southern @ Prairie View A&M | 84–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Southern @ Texas Southern | 67–58 | regular |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025 | Southern @ Nebraska | 43–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-22 | 2025 | Southern @ USC | 51–82 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Southern @ Loyola Marymount | 73–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-18 | 2025 | Southern @ Ole Miss | 61–74 | regular |
| 2024-12-10 | 2025 | Lindsey Wilson College @ Southern | 69–94 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Southern @ Tulsa | 70–66 | regular |
| 2024-11-30 | 2025 | Southern @ Louisiana Tech | 73–70 | regular |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | Champion Christian @ Southern | 58–121 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Southern @ Texas A&M | 54–71 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Ecclesia @ Southern | 42–131 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Southern @ East Texas A&M | 68–70 | regular |
| 2024-11-08 | 2025 | Southern @ Iowa | 74–89 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Southern @ South Dakota | 79–93 | regular |