cbb·system

Kentucky Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.25 points per possession 0.17
PACE 77.17 possessions per game 4.20

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Kentucky AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.48 to 1.07 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152410 0.706

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbKentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-22 2015 Dayton @ Kentucky N 99–94 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-20 2015 Tennessee State @ Kentucky N 52–97 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-08 2015 Kentucky @ Tennessee N 64–75 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Kentucky @ Mississippi State N 76–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-06 2015 Vanderbilt @ Kentucky N 61–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 South Carolina @ Kentucky 56–67 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Kentucky @ Arkansas 56–51 regular
2015-02-24 2015 Kentucky @ Ole Miss 59–67 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Texas A&M @ Kentucky 81–69 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Kentucky @ Tennessee 58–72 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Mississippi State @ Kentucky 90–92 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Kentucky @ Vanderbilt 82–68 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Georgia @ Kentucky 72–80 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Tennessee @ Kentucky 73–72 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Kentucky @ Missouri 83–69 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Kentucky @ LSU 79–84 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Florida @ Kentucky 56–62 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Kentucky @ South Carolina 60–68 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Auburn @ Kentucky 57–78 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Ole Miss @ Kentucky 58–64 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Kentucky @ Alabama 78–66 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Tennessee State @ Kentucky 75–87 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Kentucky @ Duke 68–89 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Belmont @ Kentucky 55–71 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Kentucky 62–78 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Kentucky @ Louisville 77–68 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Northern Kentucky @ Kentucky 64–82 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Kentucky @ South Florida N 61–57 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Kentucky @ Oklahoma N 92–88 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Illinois @ Kentucky N 77–71 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Kentucky @ Central Michigan 71–68 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Morehead State @ Kentucky 62–91 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Baylor @ Kentucky 64–74 regular
2014-11-15 2015 App State @ Kentucky 74–111 regular